← Blog Β· May 22, 2026 Β· mortgage, investing

Pay Extra Mortgage Principal or Invest the Difference?

You have an extra $500 a month. Your mortgage is at 6.75%. The S&P 500 has averaged about 10% nominal since 1928. The math says invest. Your brain says pay the mortgage. Which is right?

Honestly, it depends on which year you ask the question.

The cold math

Compare apples to apples. Paying off a 6.75% mortgage is a guaranteed 6.75% return, tax-free (you do not pay taxes on money you do not pay in interest). Investing in an index fund returns whatever the market does, with all the normal caveats β€” long-term average roughly 7% real (after inflation), with some years up 30%, others down 35%.

If you adjust for tax: the stock market returns are taxable when you sell. Long-term capital gains are 15-20% federal, plus state. So a nominal 10% market return is closer to 7.5-8% after-tax. The 6.75% mortgage payoff starts to look competitive.

Now adjust for the mortgage interest deduction (if you itemize β€” most do not post-TCJA). If your marginal rate is 32%, your effective mortgage rate is 6.75% Γ— (1 - 0.32) = 4.6%. Now the market wins handily.

Run your numbers

Use our Mortgage Calculator to see the amortization curve, and Compound Interest for the investment side. Compare the future value of $500/month paid into your loan versus $500/month into an index fund over the same horizon.

For a typical scenario: $300k balance at 6.75%, $500/month extra:

Investing wins by $255k in this case, but with significant volatility risk along the way. If you started in 2008 you would have been underwater on the investment for years before recovering.

The emotional argument

Personal finance is not always personal MATH. Three real considerations:

The hybrid approach (what most people should do)

Max your retirement match first. Then max your IRA. Then split: half goes to taxable investments, half goes to extra mortgage principal. You get tax-advantaged growth, market participation, AND mortgage progress. The decision becomes less binary.

For the high-confidence math person at low mortgage rates (under 5%): invest. For the "sleep matters" person at higher rates: pay off. For everyone in between: half each, and stop optimizing.

Run your scenario

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